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Red396
2834204.6
2337216.1
33188.9
Blue244
1189170.6
245173.7
68146.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46827402004006008001,000396244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#12
216.11.5
214.4215.9
Auto21.7
Teleop166.4
End27.2
red by 42.4
245
#25
173.70.0
180.4180.4
Auto17.8
Teleop128.9
End26.0
Second
204.60.6
204.9205.5
Auto25.0
Teleop153.8
End24.1
red by 34.1
1189
#22
170.60.6
180.4181.0
Auto20.0
Teleop127.9
End18.4
Third
33
#8
188.90.5
198.6198.1
Auto22.3
Teleop142.9
End21.4
red by 42.3
68
#17
146.70.7
152.6151.9
Auto22.4
Teleop106.4
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
71%Face the Boss oddsMissed66%Face the Boss oddsMissed