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Red99
910154.0
1481138.3
1189170.6
Blue386
226148.2
4779146.8
1684183.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347314010020040050060070080099386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#22
170.60.2
181.0180.8
Auto20.0
Teleop127.9
End18.4
blue by 13.3
183.80.5
185.9185.4
Auto23.5
Teleop139.3
End17.5
Second
910
#32
154.01.1
166.1165.1
Auto19.5
Teleop125.2
End6.7
red by 5.8
226
#26
148.21.8
156.9155.1
Auto17.9
Teleop116.1
End13.9
Third
1481
#30
138.30.5
146.9147.3
Auto13.5
Teleop111.0
End11.1
blue by 8.5
146.80.5
148.0147.5
Auto20.0
Teleop112.2
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsMissed92%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsMissed