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Red251
469160.6
1504130.5
3604157.9
Blue170
83089.1
68146.7
772180.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3662690100200300400500600251170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#20
160.60.7
164.6163.9
Auto17.8
Teleop114.3
End22.9
blue by 20.0
772
#16
180.62.3
191.3189.0
Auto22.6
Teleop134.5
End22.7
Second
157.91.3
162.0160.7
Auto19.3
Teleop116.8
End20.1
red by 11.2
68
#17
146.71.2
151.9150.7
Auto22.4
Teleop106.4
End16.0
Third
1504
#10
130.50.7
131.0131.7
Auto20.2
Teleop100.8
End7.5
red by 41.4
830
#21
89.11.0
94.193.2
Auto16.4
Teleop75.4
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed