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Red100
3414128.0
3641173.1
5577116.6
Blue395
3322136.1
1684183.8
245173.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573920100200300500600700800100395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#11
173.10.5
174.7175.2
Auto22.0
Teleop140.5
End8.8
blue by 10.7
183.80.2
185.4185.5
Auto23.5
Teleop139.3
End17.5
Second
3414
#23
128.02.2
142.9140.7
Auto15.3
Teleop103.5
End6.6
blue by 45.7
245
#25
173.70.7
180.4179.8
Auto17.8
Teleop128.9
End26.0
Third
116.60.1
119.4119.3
Auto17.3
Teleop93.5
End5.9
blue by 19.5
3322
#13
136.10.6
140.9140.3
Auto18.0
Teleop102.0
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsMissed