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Red383
51144.4
3539187.4
2337216.1
Blue325
2834204.6
503166.8
5843156.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3693350100200500600700800383325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#12
216.10.9
215.9216.8
Auto21.7
Teleop166.4
End27.2
red by 11.5
204.60.1
205.5205.6
Auto25.0
Teleop153.8
End24.1
Second
187.40.3
190.3190.0
Auto23.1
Teleop142.1
End19.5
red by 20.6
503
#18
166.80.4
169.9169.5
Auto22.7
Teleop121.2
End19.6
Third
51
#15
144.41.7
151.1149.4
Auto18.7
Teleop111.2
End12.5
blue by 11.7
5843
#19
156.11.4
166.0164.7
Auto23.5
Teleop121.3
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
45%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsMissed