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Red271
7084120.8
6120153.8
6077164.8
Blue300
5230140.3
4376142.6
5314156.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2933480100200400500600700800271300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6077
#16
164.81.0
174.3173.3
Auto19.7
Teleop126.6
End17.0
red by 8.7
5314
#18
156.10.6
163.8163.2
Auto19.8
Teleop125.2
End8.8
Second
153.81.9
139.8141.6
Auto17.3
Teleop114.0
End25.0
red by 11.1
142.60.1
148.1148.2
Auto15.8
Teleop115.6
End8.0
Third
7084
#15
120.80.1
116.1116.3
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End10.4
blue by 19.5
140.30.8
142.8142.0
Auto17.0
Teleop101.1
End25.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed