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Qual 172018 Bots on the Bay
Red249
6121154.4
5525126.7
5213116.0
Blue234
5183126.2
5502131.8
5714122.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311313200250300350400249234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6121
#8
154.42.1
153.2→155.4
Auto21.5
Teleop113.4
End18.2
red by 22.7
5502
#3
131.81.0
126.7→127.7
Auto18.0
Teleop97.0
End18.8
Second
5525
#13
126.71.7
135.6→133.9
Auto17.6
Teleop90.7
End16.5
red by 0.6
5183
#24
126.20.8
129.6→130.4
Auto14.7
Teleop96.9
End15.6
Third
5213
#23
116.00.5
123.2→122.7
Auto16.3
Teleop85.6
End11.8
blue by 6.8
5714
#21
122.90.5
129.5→130.0
Auto14.9
Teleop87.4
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed