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Red378
3688158.4
27217.3
5534125.6
Blue182
6077164.8
3537134.2
4983146.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3752890100200500600700378182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
217.30.2
219.0219.2
Auto22.6
Teleop167.3
End28.2
red by 52.5
6077
#16
164.80.4
173.3172.9
Auto19.7
Teleop126.6
End17.0
Second
158.40.8
159.9159.1
Auto21.1
Teleop130.3
End5.0
red by 12.1
146.21.1
152.3151.2
Auto19.5
Teleop108.0
End18.2
Third
5534
#19
125.61.6
131.8130.2
Auto22.6
Teleop89.8
End10.2
blue by 8.6
3537
#14
134.20.4
136.3136.7
Auto16.1
Teleop102.9
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed