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Red326
5230140.3
7250118.8
7084120.8
Blue164
5505174.6
3618140.6
4376142.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2303890100300500600700326164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.30.9
142.0141.1
Auto17.0
Teleop101.1
End25.0
blue by 34.2
5505
#17
174.62.2
189.8187.6
Auto21.2
Teleop133.5
End17.3
Second
7084
#15
120.80.4
116.3116.7
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End10.4
blue by 21.8
142.60.1
148.2148.1
Auto15.8
Teleop115.6
End8.0
Third
7250
#12
118.82.4
124.0121.6
Auto20.4
Teleop85.9
End13.5
blue by 21.8
140.62.0
153.7151.7
Auto20.0
Teleop110.5
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed