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Red361
4376142.6
5502131.8
9230101.3
Blue106
7250118.8
7244119.3
6077164.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663540100200400500600700800361106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.60.2
147.2147.0
Auto15.8
Teleop115.6
End8.0
blue by 22.2
6077
#16
164.80.9
176.3177.3
Auto19.7
Teleop126.6
End17.0
Second
131.81.1
127.4126.4
Auto18.0
Teleop97.0
End18.8
red by 12.4
7244
#11
119.30.9
125.9125.0
Auto17.2
Teleop91.1
End12.5
Third
9230
#20
101.323.5
101.377.7
Auto15.6
Teleop84.3
End2.3
blue by 17.5
7250
#12
118.80.3
129.1129.4
Auto20.4
Teleop85.9
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed