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Red305
5534125.6
6120153.8
4983146.2
Blue289
5183126.2
7084120.8
3618140.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36030202006008001,0001,200305289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.80.8
137.0137.8
Auto17.3
Teleop114.0
End25.0
red by 13.2
140.61.5
160.2158.7
Auto20.0
Teleop110.5
End5.8
Second
146.20.7
154.3155.0
Auto19.5
Teleop108.0
End18.2
red by 20.0
5183
#24
126.21.5
125.9127.4
Auto14.7
Teleop96.9
End15.6
Third
5534
#19
125.60.4
132.6133.0
Auto22.6
Teleop89.8
End10.2
red by 4.8
7084
#15
120.80.5
115.1115.6
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
77%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed