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Red135
5213116.0
3688158.4
6005121.6
Blue497
5230140.3
6121154.4
27217.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204410100300400500600700800135497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.40.5
161.6162.1
Auto21.1
Teleop130.3
End5.0
blue by 58.9
27
#1
217.30.0
217.7217.7
Auto22.6
Teleop167.3
End28.2
Second
6005
#10
121.60.2
119.1118.9
Auto14.3
Teleop92.8
End13.5
blue by 32.8
154.41.5
147.4148.9
Auto21.5
Teleop113.4
End18.2
Third
5213
#23
116.00.7
122.4123.1
Auto16.3
Teleop85.6
End11.8
blue by 24.3
140.31.7
144.9143.3
Auto17.0
Teleop101.1
End25.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsEarned