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Red256
6077164.8
3618140.6
5525126.7
Blue234
7250118.8
1711145.5
5534125.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3802820200600800256234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6077
#16
164.81.2
177.3176.1
Auto19.7
Teleop126.6
End17.0
red by 19.3
1711
#22
145.51.3
160.2158.9
Auto17.6
Teleop112.8
End13.6
Second
140.61.1
158.7157.6
Auto20.0
Teleop110.5
End5.8
red by 15.0
5534
#19
125.60.4
133.0133.4
Auto22.6
Teleop89.8
End10.2
Third
5525
#13
126.71.4
140.4139.0
Auto17.6
Teleop90.7
End16.5
red by 8.0
7250
#12
118.81.5
129.4127.9
Auto20.4
Teleop85.9
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed