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Red201
5534125.6
6077164.8
5183126.2
Blue314
5505174.6
5230140.3
3537134.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2893550100200400500600700201314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6077
#16
164.81.1
172.9171.8
Auto19.7
Teleop126.6
End17.0
blue by 9.8
5505
#17
174.63.1
187.6184.5
Auto21.2
Teleop133.5
End17.3
Second
5183
#24
126.20.1
130.4130.5
Auto14.7
Teleop96.9
End15.6
blue by 14.2
140.30.4
141.1140.7
Auto17.0
Teleop101.1
End25.0
Third
5534
#19
125.61.3
130.2128.9
Auto22.6
Teleop89.8
End10.2
blue by 8.6
3537
#14
134.20.4
136.7136.4
Auto16.1
Teleop102.9
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed