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Red311
5502131.8
1711145.5
27217.3
Blue169
5213116.0
3618140.6
6120153.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4082330100200300500600311169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
217.30.2
219.2219.3
Auto22.6
Teleop167.3
End28.2
red by 63.5
153.81.4
143.4144.8
Auto17.3
Teleop114.0
End25.0
Second
1711
#22
145.51.6
152.9151.3
Auto17.6
Teleop112.8
End13.6
red by 4.9
140.62.9
151.7148.8
Auto20.0
Teleop110.5
End5.8
Third
131.80.3
127.7128.0
Auto18.0
Teleop97.0
End18.8
red by 15.7
5213
#23
116.00.9
122.7121.8
Auto16.3
Teleop85.6
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed