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Red245
5314156.1
4983146.2
3618140.6
Blue77
5714122.9
6121154.4
6077164.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31234010020040050024577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#18
156.10.8
161.9161.1
Auto19.8
Teleop125.2
End8.8
blue by 8.7
6077
#16
164.81.1
171.8170.7
Auto19.7
Teleop126.6
End17.0
Second
146.21.2
149.7148.4
Auto19.5
Teleop108.0
End18.2
blue by 8.2
154.40.3
156.6156.8
Auto21.5
Teleop113.4
End18.2
Third
140.62.8
148.8146.0
Auto20.0
Teleop110.5
End5.8
red by 17.7
5714
#21
122.90.1
130.0129.9
Auto14.9
Teleop87.4
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed