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Red349
5502131.8
7250118.8
6005121.6
Blue144
7244119.3
5183126.2
27217.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2064050100300500600700349144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131.80.1
128.0127.9
Auto18.0
Teleop97.0
End18.8
blue by 85.5
27
#1
217.30.2
219.3219.1
Auto22.6
Teleop167.3
End28.2
Second
6005
#10
121.60.1
119.8119.9
Auto14.3
Teleop92.8
End13.5
blue by 4.6
5183
#24
126.20.1
130.5130.4
Auto14.7
Teleop96.9
End15.6
Third
7250
#12
118.81.3
119.9118.6
Auto20.4
Teleop85.9
End13.5
blue by 0.6
7244
#11
119.30.2
120.2120.0
Auto17.2
Teleop91.1
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed