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Red266
5505174.6
5213116.0
5534125.6
Blue362
4376142.6
5525126.7
3688158.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307312260280300320340360266362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#17
174.62.9
184.5181.6
Auto21.2
Teleop133.5
End17.3
red by 16.2
158.40.3
158.5158.3
Auto21.1
Teleop130.3
End5.0
Second
5534
#19
125.61.2
128.9127.7
Auto22.6
Teleop89.8
End10.2
blue by 17.0
142.61.8
146.7144.9
Auto15.8
Teleop115.6
End8.0
Third
5213
#23
116.01.2
121.8120.6
Auto16.3
Teleop85.6
End11.8
blue by 10.7
5525
#13
126.71.9
132.0130.1
Auto17.6
Teleop90.7
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed