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Red123
1711145.5
5213116.0
5714122.9
Blue412
6120153.8
4376142.6
7244119.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296324150200250350400450123412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1711
#22
145.51.1
149.7148.6
Auto17.6
Teleop112.8
End13.6
blue by 8.3
153.81.3
145.4146.6
Auto17.3
Teleop114.0
End25.0
Second
5714
#21
122.91.6
129.9128.2
Auto14.9
Teleop87.4
End18.4
blue by 19.8
142.61.6
144.9143.3
Auto15.8
Teleop115.6
End8.0
Third
5213
#23
116.00.9
120.6119.6
Auto16.3
Teleop85.6
End11.8
blue by 3.3
7244
#11
119.31.4
120.0118.6
Auto17.2
Teleop91.1
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed