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Qual 312018 Bots on the Bay
Red232
5314156.1
6005121.6
5505174.6
Blue273
3618140.6
5534125.6
5502131.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3522540100200300400500600700232273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#17
174.62.3
181.6→179.3
Auto21.2
Teleop133.5
End17.3
red by 34.0
3618
#7
140.62.8
146.0→143.2
Auto20.0
Teleop110.5
End5.8
Second
5314
#18
156.11.2
161.1→159.9
Auto19.8
Teleop125.2
End8.8
red by 24.3
5502
#3
131.80.9
127.9→128.8
Auto18.0
Teleop97.0
End18.8
Third
6005
#10
121.61.0
119.9→120.8
Auto14.3
Teleop92.8
End13.5
blue by 4.0
5534
#19
125.60.9
127.7→126.8
Auto22.6
Teleop89.8
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed