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Red151
519795.3
5756113.3
6567110.0
Blue75
3175124.0
6099134.0
653299.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179299010040050060070015175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5756
#22
113.37.3
90.597.8
Auto13.5
Teleop88.3
End13.0
blue by 20.7
134.011.8
88.7100.4
Auto15.1
Teleop104.1
End19.4
Second
110.00.8
104.3103.5
Auto15.3
Teleop89.8
End6.5
blue by 14.0
3175
#10
124.08.4
97.6106.0
Auto14.5
Teleop92.5
End15.3
Third
5197
#32
95.30.0
94.594.5
Auto11.3
Teleop75.6
End12.6
blue by 3.8
6532
#27
99.19.5
83.793.2
Auto13.8
Teleop84.0
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed