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Red134
656699.6
7188105.4
4758108.7
Blue107
339892.7
818130.0
3632101.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2272700100400500600700800134107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4758
#12DQ
108.70.8
106.8105.9
Auto18.2
Teleop86.6
End5.6
blue by 21.3
818
#23
130.06.9
103.0109.9
Auto14.6
Teleop100.3
End15.1
Second
7188
#11
105.410.8
77.788.6
Auto13.7
Teleop83.6
End8.3
red by 3.5
3632
#30
101.98.6
83.792.3
Auto12.1
Teleop79.8
End10.7
Third
6566
#21
99.69.8
86.696.4
Auto14.2
Teleop79.7
End4.5
red by 7.0
3398
#25
92.78.1
82.290.3
Auto14.7
Teleop71.4
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed