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Red121
1189178.7
3175124.0
4851112.7
Blue256
656699.6
1025167.4
6099134.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2672590200400600800121256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.79.9
125.4135.2
Auto20.7
Teleop125.8
End32.5
red by 11.3
167.46.3
126.9133.2
Auto24.1
Teleop124.9
End22.8
Second
3175
#10
124.02.9
106.0108.9
Auto14.5
Teleop92.5
End15.3
blue by 10.0
134.05.1
100.4105.6
Auto15.1
Teleop104.1
End19.4
Third
4851
#39
112.73.1
102.0105.1
Auto14.5
Teleop88.9
End12.6
red by 13.1
6566
#21
99.65.3
96.4101.7
Auto14.2
Teleop79.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed