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Red276
7206124.2
204894.4
4815126.1
Blue242
453107.1
523989.7
5555122.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2372520100200300400500600276242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4815
#29
126.18.0
102.5110.5
Auto12.9
Teleop95.3
End16.8
red by 3.4
5555
#16
122.77.4
94.7102.2
Auto17.1
Teleop98.9
End6.3
Second
124.28.1
88.396.4
Auto14.1
Teleop104.3
End6.7
red by 17.1
453
#35
107.18.7
98.5107.2
Auto15.8
Teleop80.9
End10.5
Third
2048
#33
94.41.8
94.396.1
Auto15.7
Teleop73.9
End7.9
red by 4.7
5239
#40
89.72.5
91.794.2
Auto15.4
Teleop75.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed