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Red212
5577118.5
4851112.7
7224103.4
Blue232
7206124.2
6616108.1
2673102.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250248100150200300350400450212232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5577
#14
118.56.7
105.4112.2
Auto13.5
Teleop93.4
End15.7
blue by 5.7
124.26.6
96.4103.0
Auto14.1
Teleop104.3
End6.7
Second
4851
#39
112.71.3
105.1106.4
Auto14.5
Teleop88.9
End12.6
red by 4.6
6616
#17
108.14.6
105.1109.7
Auto15.8
Teleop84.9
End9.5
Third
7224
#26
103.44.8
95.8100.6
Auto17.8
Teleop81.4
End1.9
red by 1.4
2673
#37
102.03.8
98.0101.8
Auto13.7
Teleop82.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed