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Red43
553285.2
653299.1
5555122.7
Blue90
339892.7
519795.3
4811107.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210216501001502503004390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5555
#16
122.74.6
102.2106.8
Auto17.1
Teleop98.9
End6.3
red by 14.8
107.94.0
98.6102.5
Auto15.9
Teleop88.9
End2.7
Second
6532
#27
99.11.2
96.998.1
Auto13.8
Teleop84.0
End-1.0
red by 3.8
5197
#32
95.30.3
94.594.8
Auto11.3
Teleop75.6
End12.6
Third
5532
#36
85.20.6
88.087.4
Auto10.3
Teleop69.2
End7.7
blue by 7.5
3398
#25
92.71.5
93.595.0
Auto14.7
Teleop71.4
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed