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Red231
609695.0
4758108.7
7145104.5
Blue132
4811107.9
521493.7
4851112.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1632630100200300400500231132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4758
#12
108.70.5
104.6105.1
Auto18.2
Teleop86.6
End5.6
blue by 4.0
4851
#39
112.70.4
110.0110.4
Auto14.5
Teleop88.9
End12.6
Second
7145
#28
104.50.6
101.3100.7
Auto13.6
Teleop82.7
End7.2
blue by 3.4
107.92.7
102.9105.6
Auto15.9
Teleop88.9
End2.7
Third
6096
#34
95.00.5
92.391.8
Auto11.1
Teleop72.4
End13.5
red by 1.3
5214
#38
93.70.6
94.694.0
Auto12.2
Teleop78.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
4%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed