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Red138
5756113.3
653299.1
1025167.4
Blue359
3098160.8
7143108.7
7206124.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2742250100200300400500138359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.43.8
155.1158.9
Auto24.1
Teleop124.9
End22.8
red by 6.6
160.82.6
145.1147.7
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End19.9
Second
5756
#22
113.31.2
117.6116.4
Auto13.5
Teleop88.3
End13.0
blue by 10.9
124.21.3
116.0117.4
Auto14.1
Teleop104.3
End6.7
Third
6532
#27
99.10.5
103.0102.4
Auto13.8
Teleop84.0
End-1.0
blue by 9.6
7143
#18
108.70.2
101.2101.1
Auto15.1
Teleop85.5
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed