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Red140
339892.7
7206124.2
553285.2
Blue265
1025167.4
259194.8
522598.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1902680100300400500140265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
124.23.2
117.4120.6
Auto14.1
Teleop104.3
End6.7
blue by 43.2
167.41.2
158.9160.0
Auto24.1
Teleop124.9
End22.8
Second
3398
#25
92.70.1
92.892.7
Auto14.7
Teleop71.4
End11.0
blue by 6.2
5225
#20
98.90.1
98.098.1
Auto13.3
Teleop76.4
End7.4
Third
5532
#36
85.20.5
83.784.3
Auto10.3
Teleop69.2
End7.7
blue by 9.7
2591
#15
94.80.1
93.393.4
Auto12.3
Teleop74.7
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed