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Red235
4851112.7
123138.3
818130.0
Blue238
3175124.0
4811107.9
3098160.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224305100400500600235238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#8
138.31.0
131.2132.2
Auto19.5
Teleop106.5
End14.5
blue by 22.4
160.84.1
147.7151.8
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End19.9
Second
818
#23
130.01.8
124.2126.0
Auto14.6
Teleop100.3
End15.1
red by 6.0
3175
#10
124.01.2
124.2125.5
Auto14.5
Teleop92.5
End15.3
Third
4851
#39
112.70.5
110.4110.9
Auto14.5
Teleop88.9
End12.6
red by 4.8
107.92.0
105.6107.7
Auto15.9
Teleop88.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed