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Red185
523989.7
4815126.1
656699.6
Blue394
521493.7
5577118.5
5756113.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2282480100200300400185394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4815
#29
126.10.6
129.7129.2
Auto12.9
Teleop95.3
End16.8
red by 7.7
5577
#14
118.50.1
116.1116.0
Auto13.5
Teleop93.4
End15.7
Second
6566
#21
99.61.3
101.299.9
Auto14.2
Teleop79.7
End4.5
blue by 13.6
5756
#22
113.31.9
116.4114.5
Auto13.5
Teleop88.3
End13.0
Third
5239
#40
89.70.1
88.989.0
Auto15.4
Teleop75.3
End2.9
blue by 4.0
5214
#38
93.70.3
94.093.7
Auto12.2
Teleop78.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed