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Red146
5555122.7
2224100.4
6616108.1
Blue506
6567110.0
1189178.7
7143108.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1533520100200300400500600146506

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5555
#16
122.72.0
117.3119.3
Auto17.1
Teleop98.9
End6.3
blue by 55.9
178.75.8
156.6162.4
Auto20.7
Teleop125.8
End32.5
Second
6616
#17
108.10.9
108.3107.3
Auto15.8
Teleop84.9
End9.5
blue by 1.9
110.00.0
107.6107.6
Auto15.3
Teleop89.8
End6.5
Third
2224
#24
100.40.8
99.398.5
Auto14.6
Teleop78.1
End8.7
blue by 8.4
7143
#18
108.72.0
101.1103.1
Auto15.1
Teleop85.5
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed