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Red135
521493.7
4815126.1
3175124.0
Blue166
653299.1
7206124.2
6958108.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230259100150200300350400135166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4815
#29
126.10.3
129.2128.9
Auto12.9
Teleop95.3
End16.8
red by 1.9
124.21.8
120.6122.4
Auto14.1
Teleop104.3
End6.7
Second
3175
#10
124.00.1
125.5125.5
Auto14.5
Teleop92.5
End15.3
red by 15.9
6958
#19
108.21.5
106.0107.5
Auto14.6
Teleop86.5
End8.2
Third
5214
#38
93.70.4
93.794.1
Auto12.2
Teleop78.9
End0.5
blue by 5.4
6532
#27
99.10.9
101.1100.1
Auto13.8
Teleop84.0
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed