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Red345
3632101.9
553285.2
123138.3
Blue128
5555122.7
2673102.0
7143108.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239250150200300350345128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#8
138.31.3
132.2133.5
Auto19.5
Teleop106.5
End14.5
red by 15.6
5555
#16
122.71.8
119.3121.1
Auto17.1
Teleop98.9
End6.3
Second
3632
#30
101.90.5
101.6101.1
Auto12.1
Teleop79.8
End10.7
blue by 6.8
7143
#18
108.73.0
103.1106.2
Auto15.1
Teleop85.5
End11.5
Third
5532
#36
85.20.1
84.384.2
Auto10.3
Teleop69.2
End7.7
blue by 16.8
2673
#37
102.00.6
103.5103.0
Auto13.7
Teleop82.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed