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Red250
547892.0
259194.8
4758108.7
Blue206
5756113.3
4851112.7
3096118.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1623120100200400500250206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4758
#12
108.70.4
106.2106.7
Auto18.2
Teleop86.6
End5.6
blue by 10.1
118.72.8
112.4115.2
Auto13.9
Teleop94.7
End11.5
Second
2591
#15
94.80.6
93.494.0
Auto12.3
Teleop74.7
End8.2
blue by 18.5
5756
#22
113.30.2
114.5114.3
Auto13.5
Teleop88.3
End13.0
Third
5478
#31
92.00.6
90.691.2
Auto11.5
Teleop75.5
End4.8
blue by 20.7
4851
#39
112.71.1
110.9112.1
Auto14.5
Teleop88.9
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed8%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed