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Red85
204894.4
4811107.9
5577118.5
Blue352
5915126.1
656699.6
3098160.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203306010040050060085352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5577
#14
118.51.0
116.0117.0
Auto13.5
Teleop93.4
End15.7
blue by 42.3
160.82.1
151.8153.9
Auto19.4
Teleop123.5
End19.9
Second
107.90.6
107.7108.2
Auto15.9
Teleop88.9
End2.7
blue by 18.1
5915
#13
126.11.9
120.7122.6
Auto14.9
Teleop99.1
End15.9
Third
2048
#33
94.41.0
92.993.9
Auto15.7
Teleop73.9
End7.9
blue by 5.3
6566
#21
99.60.7
99.999.2
Auto14.2
Teleop79.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed