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Red294
818130.0
521493.7
5555122.7
Blue194
522598.9
4851112.7
553285.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932070100400500294194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#23
130.01.9
126.0127.9
Auto14.6
Teleop100.3
End15.1
red by 17.3
4851
#39
112.70.7
112.1112.7
Auto14.5
Teleop88.9
End12.6
Second
5555
#16
122.70.6
121.1121.7
Auto17.1
Teleop98.9
End6.3
red by 23.8
5225
#20
98.90.3
98.198.4
Auto13.3
Teleop76.4
End7.4
Third
5214
#38
93.70.4
94.193.7
Auto12.2
Teleop78.9
End0.5
red by 8.5
5532
#36
85.21.0
84.285.2
Auto10.3
Teleop69.2
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed