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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Michigan State Championship - DTE Energy Foundation Division
Red284
70182.5
33211.4
5155177.5
Blue391
3656203.5
5460198.1
5216154.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4143580100200300500600700800284391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
211.40.1
211.2→211.4
Auto23.8
Teleop156.2
End31.3
red by 7.9
3656
#18
203.50.3
204.4→204.2
Auto23.0
Teleop152.3
End26.8
Second
70
#6
182.50.3
182.1→182.4
Auto22.4
Teleop135.4
End23.6
blue by 15.6
5460
#8
198.10.4
196.2→196.6
Auto21.2
Teleop142.8
End36.1
Third
5155
#16
177.50.1
177.4→177.5
Auto20.6
Teleop130.6
End26.8
red by 23.0
5216
#25
154.50.0
154.3→154.3
Auto17.5
Teleop115.9
End20.9