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Red252
70182.5
33211.4
5155177.5
Blue431
3656203.5
5460198.1
5216154.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4043620200600800252431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
211.40.0
211.4211.4
Auto23.8
Teleop156.2
End31.3
red by 7.9
3656
#18
203.50.2
204.2203.9
Auto23.0
Teleop152.3
End26.8
Second
70
#6
182.50.1
182.4182.5
Auto22.4
Teleop135.4
End23.6
blue by 15.6
198.10.4
196.6197.0
Auto21.2
Teleop142.8
End36.1
Third
5155
#16
177.50.0
177.5177.5
Auto20.6
Teleop130.6
End26.8
red by 23.0
5216
#25
154.50.0
154.3154.3
Auto17.5
Teleop115.9
End20.9