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Red526
1023195.0
5155177.5
5216154.5
Blue297
2137159.5
6117164.0
5980163.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4293070100200500600700526297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#10
195.00.0
192.8192.8
Auto21.8
Teleop145.6
End23.8
red by 31.0
6117
#26
164.01.0
158.2159.2
Auto16.4
Teleop122.8
End27.2
Second
5155
#16
177.50.1
179.5179.4
Auto20.6
Teleop130.6
End26.8
red by 14.2
5980
#36
163.30.8
159.5160.3
Auto25.1
Teleop115.9
End19.4
Third
5216
#25
154.51.6
157.0155.3
Auto17.5
Teleop115.9
End20.9
blue by 5.0
2137
#30
159.51.3
155.0153.7
Auto21.1
Teleop118.2
End20.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed