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Red327
4381148.9
5460198.1
4362191.6
Blue414
4384144.7
2474184.5
3656203.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365350100200300400500600327414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
198.10.9
188.1188.9
Auto21.2
Teleop142.8
End36.1
blue by 5.4
3656
#18
203.50.5
202.9203.5
Auto23.0
Teleop152.3
End26.8
Second
191.60.3
185.1184.8
Auto18.9
Teleop151.6
End22.1
red by 7.1
2474
#19
184.50.2
185.2185.0
Auto25.2
Teleop141.7
End17.3
Third
4381
#32
148.91.4
157.0155.6
Auto21.5
Teleop109.4
End21.4
red by 4.2
4384
#13
144.70.3
135.0134.7
Auto18.9
Teleop112.7
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsEarned12%Face the Boss oddsMissed