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Red327
5046174.4
4216178.6
3535157.5
Blue428
5517160.8
5561166.1
67209.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337400200300500600700327428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4216
#24
178.60.0
185.6185.6
Auto22.1
Teleop134.7
End24.9
blue by 31.0
67
#3
209.61.1
215.3216.3
Auto24.8
Teleop142.8
End39.8
Second
5046
#21
174.40.7
170.4171.1
Auto19.0
Teleop135.4
End20.1
red by 8.3
5561
#14
166.10.4
168.9168.5
Auto18.9
Teleop118.1
End28.3
Third
3535
#17
157.50.7
158.2157.5
Auto23.4
Teleop115.1
End18.9
blue by 3.4
5517
#11
160.80.9
160.6161.5
Auto18.2
Teleop117.5
End24.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned94%Face the Boss oddsEarned