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Red288
5555138.8
5230144.9
4819142.5
Blue428
3535157.5
4362191.6
5216154.5
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2883900100200500600700288428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5230
#37
144.91.0
156.3155.3
Auto20.2
Teleop102.8
End19.9
blue by 46.7
191.60.1
184.8184.7
Auto18.9
Teleop151.6
End22.1
Second
4819
#22
142.50.7
139.8140.5
Auto16.8
Teleop107.7
End19.7
blue by 14.9
3535
#17
157.50.3
157.5157.2
Auto23.4
Teleop115.1
End18.9
Third
5555
#39
138.80.0
140.9140.9
Auto18.1
Teleop109.6
End12.2
blue by 15.7
5216
#25
154.51.1
155.3154.3
Auto17.5
Teleop115.9
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsMissed