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Red458
3656203.5
5460198.1
4216178.6
Blue277
6117164.0
6099125.2
7187157.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions471274100200400600700458277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#18
203.51.0
203.5204.5
Auto23.0
Teleop152.3
End26.8
red by 39.5
6117
#26
164.00.9
159.2160.1
Auto16.4
Teleop122.8
End27.2
Second
198.10.8
188.9189.7
Auto21.2
Teleop142.8
End36.1
red by 40.7
7187
#29
157.40.4
162.7162.3
Auto22.0
Teleop109.7
End23.6
Third
4216
#24
178.60.3
185.6186.0
Auto22.1
Teleop134.7
End24.9
red by 53.3
6099
#41
125.20.7
139.4138.6
Auto18.2
Teleop90.9
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
50%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed