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Red433
3707207.0
2337208.0
5155177.5
Blue311
4392175.1
7056145.9
6090199.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462301100200400500600700800433311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.01.2
200.9202.1
Auto24.9
Teleop156.3
End25.2
red by 8.2
199.80.9
196.8197.7
Auto23.4
Teleop146.6
End30.0
Second
207.01.1
201.2202.2
Auto26.2
Teleop148.1
End30.8
red by 31.9
4392
#23
175.10.8
174.4175.2
Auto15.4
Teleop138.2
End21.1
Third
5155
#16
177.50.2
179.4179.6
Auto20.6
Teleop130.6
End26.8
red by 31.6
7056
#33
145.90.7
151.9152.6
Auto18.4
Teleop101.2
End23.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed