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Red306
4384144.7
70182.5
5517160.8
Blue295
5980163.3
2474184.5
7226112.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402307100200500600700800306295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#6
182.51.4
177.3178.8
Auto22.4
Teleop135.4
End23.6
blue by 2.0
2474
#19
184.50.4
185.0185.5
Auto25.2
Teleop141.7
End17.3
Second
5517
#11
160.80.9
161.5162.4
Auto18.2
Teleop117.5
End24.2
blue by 2.5
5980
#36
163.30.7
160.3161.0
Auto25.1
Teleop115.9
End19.4
Third
4384
#13
144.70.3
134.7135.0
Auto18.9
Teleop112.7
End14.9
red by 32.4
7226
#40
112.31.5
122.6121.1
Auto15.5
Teleop79.7
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed