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Red384
6117164.0
6121141.5
5555138.8
Blue297
4819142.5
4381148.9
6087138.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3163420200400600800384297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6117
#26
164.00.6
160.1160.7
Auto16.4
Teleop122.8
End27.2
red by 15.1
4381
#32
148.91.0
155.6154.7
Auto21.5
Teleop109.4
End21.4
Second
6121
#35
141.50.5
129.5130.0
Auto22.8
Teleop102.7
End17.7
blue by 1.0
4819
#22
142.50.7
140.5141.2
Auto16.8
Teleop107.7
End19.7
Third
5555
#39
138.80.2
140.9141.1
Auto18.1
Teleop109.6
End12.2
red by 0.3
6087
#38
138.61.0
144.7143.7
Auto19.0
Teleop100.6
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed