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Qual 302018 Michigan State Championship - DTE Energy Foundation Division
Red320
5561166.1
5709102.3
2474184.5
Blue456
7226112.3
5155177.5
1918214.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2854110100200500600700320456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
#19
184.50.4
185.5→185.8
Auto25.2
Teleop141.7
End17.3
blue by 30.3
1918
#5
214.90.6
217.0→217.7
Auto23.1
Teleop156.3
End34.1
Second
5561
#14
166.10.1
168.5→168.4
Auto18.9
Teleop118.1
End28.3
blue by 11.4
5155
#16
177.50.1
179.6→179.7
Auto20.6
Teleop130.6
End26.8
Third
5709
#34
102.30.8
101.6→100.7
Auto16.1
Teleop72.0
End16.8
blue by 10.0
7226
#40
112.31.2
121.1→119.9
Auto15.5
Teleop79.7
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed56%Face the Boss oddsMissed