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Red271
4381148.9
1596166.4
7244125.9
Blue425
3707207.0
4216178.6
5517160.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2644570100200400500600700800271425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#27
166.40.3
165.1165.4
Auto22.1
Teleop123.3
End22.2
blue by 40.6
207.00.8
202.2203.1
Auto26.2
Teleop148.1
End30.8
Second
4381
#32
148.90.7
154.7153.9
Auto21.5
Teleop109.4
End21.4
blue by 29.7
4216
#24
178.60.0
186.0185.9
Auto22.1
Teleop134.7
End24.9
Third
7244
#31
125.91.0
123.8124.8
Auto16.5
Teleop93.9
End11.2
blue by 34.9
5517
#11
160.80.3
162.4162.7
Auto18.2
Teleop117.5
End24.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsEarned