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Red411
1023195.0
3572158.3
6090199.8
Blue349
70182.5
3656203.5
7187157.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398389350450411349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.80.1
197.7197.8
Auto23.4
Teleop146.6
End30.0
blue by 3.7
3656
#18
203.50.5
204.5205.0
Auto23.0
Teleop152.3
End26.8
Second
1023
#10
195.01.0
193.0194.1
Auto21.8
Teleop145.6
End23.8
red by 12.5
70
#6
182.50.7
178.8179.4
Auto22.4
Teleop135.4
End23.6
Third
3572
#12
158.31.4
156.5157.9
Auto19.6
Teleop115.7
End19.9
red by 0.9
7187
#29
157.40.4
162.3161.9
Auto22.0
Teleop109.7
End23.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsEarned44%Face the Boss oddsMissed